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Sunday, June 19, 2011

On Overpopulation



Population Explosion is the term we give to a condition of having more people in a certain country or the whole world for that matter  that can live in   comfort, happiness and health and still leave the same a fit place for future generation. When the growth of human population of a small developing country reaches to about a hundred million people, it would surely become a significant burden to human well being.  It affects the populace through its impact on the environment and on the economy. . I believe that the greatest threat to the future comes from overpopulation.

Having a human population growth to as high as 1 million a year has a variety of consequences. Population grows fastest in the world's poorest countries. High fertility rates have generally been strongly correlated with poverty, and high childhood mortality rates as learned from the past. Falling fertility rates are generally associated with improved standards of living, increased life expectancy, and lowered infant mortality. Overpopulation and poverty have long been associated with increased death, and disease. Families tightly packed into unsanitary housing are inordinately vulnerable to natural disasters and health problems.
The rapid expansion of population size observed since the end of World War II in the world's poorest nations has been a cause of their poverty.  
Poverty is a condition that deprives the basic needs of people that start at the family level. It is a major concern of humankind, because it reduces human beings to a low level of existence. Poor people lack access to enough land and income to meet basic needs. A lack of basic needs results in physical weakness and poor health. Poor health decreases the ability of the poor to work and put them deeper into poverty.  The system goes in cycle.
Instead of allowing poverty to persist, it is highly important to limit our number because in densely populated countries come lack of adequate food, water, shelter, education and employment. High fertility, which was once been traditionally associated with prosperity, prestige, and security for the future, now jeopardizes the chances of many to achieve health and security.
On the other hand, having a large population like 100 million people may not at all just bear  negative effects.  Perhaps, it also carries its own benefits, we will see.
Many think having a large population is a big problem. The reasons above may seem to be the issue why.  But if one sees rapid population growth as rather a fundamental development challenge than it is a problem, then, that is where its positive effects lie.
Population growth and urbanization go hand in hand, and economic development is closely correlated with urbanization.  As we can see, rich countries are associated with urban countries.  No country has ever reached high income levels with low urbanization.. Population growth increases density and, together with rural-urban migration, creates higher urban agglomeration. This being the case, is critical in achieving sustained growth because large urban centers allow for innovation and increase the scale of the economy. Companies can produce goods in larger numbers and more cheaply, serving a larger number of low-income customers. Let us take a look on Kenya where it has companies which have been benefitting from increasing population growth and density in targeting the large numbers of lower and lower-middle income groups”. Their business model is viable because they can serve a multi-million customer base, which has increased by 25% over the last 10 years and which continues to grow rapidly.
There is no guarantee that we can duplicate Kenya or other nations in their effort to make their highly populated county turns into  more of a benefit than considering it a plague.  It might be possible but it depends on many factors as well.
With great efforts from the government particularly from its leaders, the current pattern of population growth would  not become the main hindrance to  development to a country with a hundred million population anymore.  It can   even be a positive force, who knows.  In other words, what we need instead are capable civil servants to ensure that good governance are ensured to cope with a larger population.

As the saying goes "..there is strength in numbers..." so we remain to be optimistic.

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